Is it repeated? Why events repeat themselves or how to get out of a vicious circle. The fate of Russia. history of the future

Hello, dear readers!

Today we will talk about the importance. Let's analyze one of the axioms of technical analysis and answer the question of whether it is worth considering history in your trading and what period to take into account.

I was prompted to write this article by a question from one of the blog readers (for which special thanks to him). And it sounded like this:

“How do you feel about history, is it worth considering and how deeply? 2−4 years or there is no point at all and in general how radically it changes, according to Elder from 2 to 4 years"

Of course, this question can be answered in a nutshell (I actually did just that in the letter), but let’s try to “dig deeper” and understand the essence of this issue, because it is very important for understanding.

As you already know, technical analysis is based on theories of Charles Henry Dow, and the theory itself is based on three postulates. One of them says that history repeats itself(What other two postulates exist? Write the correct answers in the comments :)).

Technical analysts argue that something that has affected the price in the past and is reflected in the chart will definitely affect the price in the future. What is this connected with? With magic? Astrology? Fortune telling with coffee grounds or a crystal ball? Of course not! First of all, it has to do with psychology. With crowd psychology. And as you know, any market is a crowd, a very large crowd, where everyone pursues their own interests. More precisely, all participants have the same interest - making a profit, but the possibilities and means of achieving this goal are different.

So, technical analysis, citing the fact that history repeats itself, tries not to predict price behavior in the future, but to predict people’s reaction when the price approaches a particular value, thereby increasing the likelihood of a positive outcome of the transaction.

But I fundamentally disagree with the formulation of this postulate. History never repeats itself 100%. I once came across a phrase: « history doesn't repeat itself. But she is similar". Thanks to which, I rethought my understanding of technical analysis. We do not know and cannot know how the price will behave near a particular price level. How long will the price take to reach it? How long will it take for this level to be broken (and whether it will be broken at all). How far will the price go in case of a breakout?

In May 2006, a resistance level is formed (yellow area). After that, the price approached this level three more times, trying unsuccessfully to break through it (gray area). Then in November twice more and this time the breakdown happened. I am sure that most of you, in real trading, would have correctly carried out exactly the same level and would have been confident that the price would return to it and interact with it in the future (history repeats itself). And now, attention, a question: who, in real trading mode, can say with 100% confidence how the price will interact with this level? When exactly will this level be broken? If the breakouts are false, then how far the price will go in the direction of the breakout, etc.

I wonder if there are those who can answer these questions? 🙂

Okay, let’s finish with philosophizing on the topic of the cyclical nature of history and move on to more prosaic matters.

What time period should you consider when analyzing historical data?

Frankly speaking, I cannot answer this question unambiguously, and it is unlikely that it (the answer) exists. Here everyone is free to decide for themselves depending on their trading style. If a day trader trades intraday on m15, then why should he analyze the history over the last 4 years? And if we are dealing with a swing trader trading on weekly and monthly charts, then naturally he will consider longer horizons.

I can only tell you with my own example how I see the chart on my screen. Here's my chart expanded:

I analyze only what fits on one screen; I do not rewind the chart back into history (regardless of the time frame). For me, what is important is what is happening directly at the moment, and the further back in history, the significance of the data decreases. Naturally, it is important to understand that if the price approaches some historical extreme, which it last reached 10 years ago, then this is a very significant event. I'll show you with an example:

The same euro and the same day bars. I have used blue lines to indicate support levels that are more important to me. These levels are drawn through extremes that were relatively recent. The red line is also a support level that the price may notice, but for me it is less important, since the extreme point through which it was drawn dates back to December 2012. I think my logic is clear.

That's all. If you have questions, write in the comments or through the feedback form. I will definitely answer you. Thank you for your attention.

In the photo in the center, Nikolai Kofyrin is the commander of the people's militia detachment (photo from the home archive)

The German philosopher Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel said: “History repeats itself twice. The first time in the form of a tragedy, the second - in the form of a farce.”
In connection with the centenary of the 1917 revolution, people are increasingly asking whether the upheavals will happen again. On December 28, 2016, at the St. Petersburg book club “Word Order,” an independent and authoritative St. Petersburg economist, professor at the European University in St. Petersburg, Dmitry Yakovlevich Travin, gave a lecture “Russia-1917 and Russia-2017.” I asked the listeners whether the revolution would happen again in Russia?

In 1960, a filmstrip was released about what the USSR would be like in 2017. Many technological advances were predicted correctly. But no one foresaw the most important thing - the collapse of the USSR state. Nobody except Nostradamus...

At school we studied the February bourgeois revolution of 1917 only as a prehistory of the Great October Socialist Revolution. Now it’s the other way around: the February events in Petrograd are called a revolution, and the October armed uprising is considered a coup.

The famous literary critic Marietta Chudakova believes: “It seems to me that people do not realize what year awaits us - the centenary of October. ... October was catastrophic for Russia, because it led it off the historical path into a historical stall for more than seventy years - or into a historical dead end - whichever word you prefer.”

On December 30, 2016, the Kommersant newspaper published the article “There will be no year seventeen.” “Russia intends to live it out as quickly as possible.” “The government, business and society would prefer to simply skip next year. All visible threats of serious changes in 2016 were removed in advance, all big plans were postponed to 2018. It is precisely this atmosphere of the coming 2017 that is best suited for everything that no one expected.”

On the eve of the new year, the newspaper “Arguments and Facts” published an article “Does the revolution have no end?” (No. 51 dated December 21, 2016). As it turns out, the slogans of a hundred years ago also influence the current world order.
Alexander Chubaryan, scientific director of the Institute of General History of the Russian Academy of Sciences, believes: “For example, in the West they are well aware that the theory and practice of the social state are a product of the Russian revolution. And they quite logically declare that without this there would be neither modern Sweden, nor modern Germany, nor modern France. And the European Union as such, since it is based on left-wing, socialist principles. Socially, Russia was then ahead of the whole world by an entire era, setting a new, hitherto unprecedented standard of social structure.”

Many doubt: will memories of the events of a hundred years ago awaken protest activity in Russia?
Politicians say: “The main thing is that protest sentiments are not used by the “fifth column” to destroy the country according to the Kyiv scenario.”

Is a remake of the revolution possible in 2017?

“A revolution cannot be ruled out, which can take several forms,” says historian and left-wing public figure Alexander Shubin. “On the one hand, there may be a pseudo-revolution of liberals, but Bolotnaya turned out to be a good vaccine for this. On the other hand, there is a revolution of nationalists, which is extremely destructive for Russia and is dangerous for all humanity. Thirdly, there is a social revolution, which can also become a form of social reversal, but a very destructive one. It is very important in any form of social and re-modernization reversal to defend its non-violent, humanistic, democratic forms."

Independent politician Gennady Gudkov believes:
“I don’t think that a revolution is possible already in 2017: the authorities definitely have enough safety margin for this year. But by the end of it, the money may run out, and the country will move towards social upheaval..."

But will anyone go to storm the Kremlin in the year of the centenary of October?

General Secretary of the Communists of Russia party Maxim Suraikin believes:
“Theoretically, against the backdrop of a deep socio-economic crisis and increasing protest sentiments, a socialist revolution in 2017 is possible.”

Vice President of the Center for Political Research Alexey Makarkin is sure of the opposite:
“Today, in the understanding of the overwhelming majority of all segments of the population and political movements, revolution is bad. Lenin's heir Zyuganov says Russia has reached its limit on revolutions. Liberals scare the authorities with revolution and give them advice on how to avoid it.”

Let's see if what Olga Slavnikova wrote in the novel “2017” will come true.

On the eve of the New Year, I saw a magazine on the newsstands, on the cover of which was the unexpected question “What will happen to us?” with a photo of Vladimir Putin “Does he really want to end his career in order to fulfill his big dream?”

“Strange,” I thought. “Who is spreading such rumors and why?”

For the holiday I was given a calendar “All year with Vladimir Putin.” Although for some reason it seems that with Vladimir Putin we will spend not only the 2017 “year of ecology” - after all, environmental problems will always be relevant!

The Bulgarian fortuneteller Vanga is said to have foreseen that Russia will become the savior of the world in 2017. According to Vanga, Russia will save the world while other countries tear each other to pieces. In 2017, there will be terrible geopolitical and social changes that could lead to World War III. Against this background, the Slavs will unite under the wing of Russia, which will become the guarantor of peace and justice for all humanity.

The famous psychic Wolf Messing, before undergoing an operation that he did not survive, allegedly predicted what awaits Russia a hundred years after the revolution - that is, in 2017. According to the prediction, the world leaders will be Russia, the USA and China. They can both start a war and resolve world conflicts. Specifically for Russia, he predicted that it would have a great influence on world history, despite attempts by other countries to hinder its development. The Russian economy will grow due to rising oil prices. There will, however, also be natural disasters: in October, Siberia will face a flood.

You may not believe this, but it will be possible to check.
On January 12-13, 2017, the next meeting of experts will take place within the framework of the Gaidar Forum. It will be visited by German Gref and Anatoly Chubais. Experts will take part in the discussion “Technological shifts and economic dynamics: what is really happening?”

In fact, Russia is still sitting on the “oil needle” (gas and oil are the main budget fillers). In 2016, budget revenues from oil and gas fell by 18%.
2017 is the last year when holes in the budget can be plugged from reserves. The reserve fund is coming to an end: over the last two years, reserves have decreased from 7 to 1.9 trillion rubles.
According to the head of the Accounts Chamber, Tatyana Golikova, in 2017 Russia will completely exhaust the Reserve Fund, and the government will switch to using funds from the National Welfare Fund.

Although the price of oil is rising, the ruble is rising against the euro and the dollar, but prices in stores are also rising. There are no plans to index pensions and salaries in accordance with inflation; the funded part of pensions has been frozen. The introduction of a “tax on parasitism” is being discussed (20 thousand per year for each parasite).

Despite public protests, signature collections and other actions, prices for transport in St. Petersburg have increased (in the metro from 33 to 45 rubles).
Everyone will have to “tighten their belts,” says economist Alexey Vyazovsky.

The American magazine The Economist is confident that “Russia’s economic problems are grave.” Barack Obama believes that “Russia’s economy is “torn to shreds.”

In 2017, prices for cigarettes, food and confectionery products will increase (especially chocolate, cakes and pastries will rise in price).
Prices for fish and meat will increase by 10 percent.
They promise an increase in gasoline prices.
Prices for medicines will also increase by 5-7%, since almost all raw materials are imported.
Prices for alcohol will also increase.

As a sociologist, I sometimes look at the results of public opinion polls. On December 10-11, 2016, a population survey was conducted in 130 settlements with a total sample size of 1,600 people. According to a survey by the All-Russian Center for the Study of Public Opinion (VTsIOM), the main problems in Russia are related to low wages (noted by 18% of Russians), the economic situation (18%) and healthcare (17%).

The unpopular war in Syria continues with no end in sight. By December 20, 2016, the Russian Aerospace Forces had carried out over 30 thousand sorties, hitting over 62 thousand objects in Syria. Palmyra, liberated and cleared with such difficulty, again found itself in the hands of militants.

Every year I listen to Dmitry Travin’s lectures and am amazed at the accuracy of his assessments.

They offer a good slogan: “Let's stop starting...”

I am against revolutions. Any revolution gives rise to unrest, terror and repression. Nobody wants a revolution except desperate troublemakers who want to climb to power over other people's corpses. But if revolutions do happen, then they are inevitable. And the authorities are primarily to blame for this, since popular indignation is a consequence of the mistakes of the ruling regime.

Is revolution a result of external forces or a consequence of internal causes? How to prevent a repeat of the revolution? – I, too, as a sociologist, investigated this issue.

On the eve of the February Revolution, the Bolsheviks had a little more than 1 thousand rubles in the cash register. Financial assistance came from American bankers, but it reached the Bolsheviks only in the fall of 1917, because it was initially received by Trotsky, who was not a Bolshevik at that time and was the head of his group.

Giving money for the revolution was considered good form among the intelligentsia. Rich merchants also gave. Nobody thought about the consequences. The Germans fighting against Russia also transferred money for the coup, including through Alexander Gelfand (nickname Parvus). Back in 1915, he offered the Germans to overthrow the Tsar and ruin Russia for money. True, the original documents confirming that the Bolsheviks received money from the German General Staff are still unknown.

According to historian Andrei Zubov, a coup in Russia was supposed to take place in 1916.

Lenin’s public statement in January 1917 in Switzerland is known that he did not expect to live to see the revolution, but that young people would see it.

At school I was an excellent student and I still remember three main signs of a revolutionary situation:
1\ when the upper classes cannot govern in a new way, and the lower classes do not want to live in the old way;
2\ worsening than usual the needs and misfortunes of the working class;
3\ growth of revolutionary activity of the masses.

You read the history of events that happened a hundred years ago, and it becomes scary that everything is repeating itself.

My grandmother was born in 1891 and lived in St. Petersburg during three revolutions.
By the end of 1916, prices had tripled since the start of the war, outpacing the growth in household incomes. At the Obukhov plant, the lowest monthly salary was 160 rubles, all other workers received from 225 to 400 rubles. per month. At the same time, a pound of black bread cost 5 kopecks, beef - 40 kopecks, butter - 50 kopecks; and all these products were on sale.

At the end of January 1917, the Working Group began to prepare an anti-government demonstration on the opening day of the new session of the State Duma; The appeal issued to her demanded the “decisive elimination of the autocratic regime.”

In February 1917, the main demand of the State Duma was the introduction in Russia of a “responsible ministry” - a government appointed by the Duma and responsible to the Duma.

On February 20, 1917, General of the Tsar's security department Spiridovich A.I. described the situation in Petrograd this way: “Everyone is waiting for some kind of coup. Who will do it, where, how, when - no one knows anything. And everyone is talking and everyone is waiting.”

The revolution, as always, happened unexpectedly. But the reason for the revolution is not that some general did not carry out the order and violated the oath. The question is why did he violate?! There is never just one reason, there are always many reasons. It is important to understand how objective reasons are linked to people’s subjective aspirations.

The generals who organized the conspiracy against the tsar only wanted to replace one autocrat with another: Nicholas II - Mikhail Romanov. Although there were those who proposed a constitutional monarchy and even a republic.

The chief of staff of the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, General Alekseev, began to convince the tsar of the need to introduce a “responsible ministry” (constitutional monarchy) in the country; in 2220 he even sent a corresponding draft manifesto to Nicholas II. At one o'clock in the morning the king agreed to the establishment of a "responsible ministry." But it was already too late!

There is still debate about the causes of the February Revolution. The minister of the first composition of the Provisional Government, P. N. Milyukov, recognized that the main reasons for the February Revolution were not at all economic, but lay in the plane of politics and culture. “History will curse the leaders, the so-called proletarians, but it will also curse us, who caused the storm.”

“The February uprising is called spontaneous...,” wrote Leon Trotsky, “in February, no one outlined the path of a coup in advance... no one from above called for an uprising. The indignation that had accumulated over the years broke out largely unexpectedly for the masses themselves.”

My grandfather, Nikolai Kofirin, led a detachment of revolutionary workers and soldiers.

Was the February Revolution inevitable?

Against the backdrop of an increase in the number of millionaires, working people became poor; people did not want to live in the old way and demanded changes; the political activity of the masses grew; The fundamental issue of land was not resolved, the ruling elite was losing the remnants of legitimacy.

Every revolution is a desperate attempt to resolve painful issues of social life. And those who do not feel these problems and do not try to eliminate them (for example, the acute stratification of property in society) will inevitably find themselves buried under the destructive tornado of the revolution.

A revolution is a manifestation of the need to restore violated justice, that is, balance in society. And that’s why it’s not a matter of lack of bread, but a sense of justice, for the sake of which people are ready to endure the lack of bread.

The blatant injustice that reigns in society is a time bomb. There is a contradiction between social justice and economic efficiency. Current capitalism may not be fair, but it is economically efficient.

Can a society be fair and at the same time economically efficient?

I am convinced: the more fair a society is, the more economically efficient it is!
But we are apparently doomed to oscillate between the thirst for justice and the thirst for abundance.
Most rich people do not want to share, believing that since they earned their wealth through hard work, then let others work too.
This would probably be fair if it did not concern huge fortunes passed on to inheritance that were not personally earned.

As you know, history teaches no one. Because people learn not from history, but first of all from themselves. There is no less violence and wars, the earth is not becoming more beautiful, and the lives of millions of people per capita are not getting better.

Russia is strong not by a strong-willed king, but by the unity of the entire people. This is the Russian idea: conciliarity as the spiritual unity of people; when the self-sacrifice of the individual serves the salvation of the entire people, when all problems can be solved together, when the spiritual unity of everyone is placed above the selfish material interests of everyone.

But when the preservation of personal power becomes more important than the interests of the people and the state, when loyalty to power becomes more important than professionalism, then revolutions happen.

“Revolutions and wars also do not change anything essentially, but only create anxiety that is often unnecessary for everyone. The laws of existence cannot be changed by any good wishes. Some rulers replace others, trying to transform something, as they say, “for the better,” but sooner or later everything returns to normal.”
(from my novel “Stranger Strange Incomprehensible Extraordinary Stranger” on the New Russian Literature website

So what did you want to say with your post? - they will ask me.

Everything I want to tell people comes down to three main ideas:
1\ The goal of life is to learn to love, to love no matter what
2\ Meaning is everywhere
3\ Love to create is a necessity.
ALL IS LOVE

Happy New Seventeenth Year!

In your opinion, WILL THE REVOLUTION HAPPEN AGAIN?

The book, based on an analysis of the political history of Russia, shows that revolutions in our state are repeated with clear frequency. Russian history is a complex cyclical process. To a first approximation, it can be represented as a superposition, an “overlay” of three cycles lasting 71-86 years, 300 years and 383-384 years. In addition, it is shown that between the most important events of Russian history, time passes that is a multiple of an integer number of periods...(More) revolutions of the planets of the solar system. The dates of all events in Russian history are given according to traditional chronology. The reader can independently check any date using the reference book or books presented in the bibliography.

The book is intended for anyone interested in history. Not necessarily domestic, but foreign as well. Because periodic processes occur not only in Russia. This is a universal, planetary phenomenon. The discovered patterns can be applied to search for periodic processes in the history of other states.

I dedicate it to my parents Ivan Vasilyevich and Vera Ivanovna.

When opening any book, first of all you want to know what it is about. To make the choice easier for the reader, we will immediately define the topic of this book and warn him what difficulties he will have to face.

The theme of this book is periodic processes in the political history of the Russian state. We will try to consider in detail the most important political events in the history of the Moscow Principality, the Russian Empire and the USSR, from 1304 to the present, and very briefly touch on the history of Kievan and Vladimir Rus in the period from 1000 to 1300.

In the first chapter it will be shown that state cataclysms, such as revolutions, civil wars, and uprisings occur in the history of Russia at clearly measured intervals, with a periodicity of approximately 71-86 years, 300 years and 383-384 years. Knowing these periods, you can try to predict future events. Many books have already been written on this topic. Here we will move from specific historical events to general patterns. We will classify political events, “split” the history of Russia into several periods, and then show why certain events should be chosen as boundary events of these particular periods, and not of some other periods. You will see that the duration of the periods can be measured to within one day, and these periods are repeated. This technique can also be applied to search for periodic processes in the history of other states.

In the second chapter it will be shown that the duration between the most important historical events is equal to whole numbers of the periods of revolution of the planets of the solar system around the Sun. You will also learn about some interesting relationships between the periods of revolution of the planets, and how these relationships “manifest” in the history of Russia. All this raises many questions. Unfortunately, there is no answer to most of them yet. Let's hope that at least some answers will be found in the near future.

And now a few general comments.

Firstly, this is not a new chronology in the style of A.T. Fomenko and G.V. Nosovsky. All conclusions and calculations presented in this book are based on existing, traditional chronology. You can find the date of any event that we will talk about in any good encyclopedic reference book. Unfortunately, most reference books either do not provide exact dates or are full of typos. And this is a big problem. There are no real encyclopedic publications on the history of Russia, at least in Russian.

Secondly, this book is not for light reading. Although there are no complex logical constructions in it, there are an abundance of dates and numbers. This is the specificity of our topic. Dates are generally very important to us. Why? You will learn about this in the second chapter.

Since we are talking about dates, we will immediately decide that we will use the now generally accepted Gregorian calendar. It should be remembered that some countries used different calendars before, and even now. In addition, not all countries simultaneously switched to the Gregorian calendar. For example, Russia switched to this calendar relatively recently, only in 1918. That year, February 1st was immediately followed by February 14th. To avoid confusion, we will indicate all dates in the history of Russia before February 1, 1918 according to the old style, i.e. according to the Julian calendar. Unfortunately, most historians do not indicate at all which calendar they use. Therefore, it took a long time to find out and search for exact dates, and where it was not possible to find an exact reference to the calendar, the author assumes that the dates are indicated according to the Gregorian calendar. His only justification is that the error in the dates of the Julian and Gregorian calendars is quite small, amounting to 13 days for the 20th century and even less for the 19th-16th centuries. Such is the accuracy of our chronology.

Thirdly, in this book we will talk about the most important events in the history of Russia over the past seven hundred years. There are many of these events, and special research is devoted to almost each of them. In order to see a certain system in all this diversity, it is necessary to look at the past from a bird's eye view. This means that we will describe historical events, but very briefly, and many details that are not important for our topic will be omitted, we simply will not see them. We can only hope that the reader is familiar with Russian history or can easily find specialized literature on a specific event that interests him. A list of references is attached.

Fourthly, in describing historical events we will try not to use ethical assessments. Let's concentrate only on what happened and when. The sequence of events will also be very important for us.

Fifthly, we will carry out small calculations, and 4 rules of arithmetic and a pocket calculator will be enough for us. All this should not cause much difficulty for the reader.

All historians, both ancient and modern, describe isolated, unique events and the actions of specific people. Nothing they write about will ever happen again. There will be neither a second Ivan Kalita, nor a second Peter I, nor a second Poltava, nor a second Battle of Borodino. All this is certainly true, but the uniqueness of an event does not mean that this event cannot be somewhat similar to others. One of the greats said that history repeats itself twice - once in the form of a tragedy, and the second time in the form of a farce. Somewhere at the subconscious level we realize that there are similar events, similar periods, similar rulers. Many, for example, were compared to Napoleon, I.V. Stalin was often compared to Ivan the Terrible. But if there are similar events, then it is interesting to know at what time intervals they occur. Maybe there are some patterns here?

Back in Soviet times, we were taught that there are general laws for the development of society - it supposedly goes through certain stages, phases of development. But then there were words, words, words, and nothing concrete. Why are these laws not formalized? Is it even possible to represent them in the form of mathematical formulas?

The first and important step in this direction was taken by Lev Nikolaevich Gumilev. He discovered the laws of ethnic development. It turned out that the ethnic group behaves like a living being, i.e. he is "born" and "dies". Its “age” lasts approximately 1200-1500 years, and every 200-300 years catastrophic events occur, and the ethnos moves into another phase of its life. Ethnic groups always fight with each other, and very often young ethnic groups absorb old ones. Therefore, the lifespan of ethnic groups can be either 300 or 500 years (1).

Are there similar laws for states? They must exist, because the ethnos creates the state, it is its “form of life, form of existence.” Most often, several ethnic groups unite in one state, but there is always one dominant one, which has a decisive influence on its neighbors. It follows that states behave like an ethnic group, they also go through crises and exist (if they are not “eaten up” by other states) for approximately 1200-1500 years.

Is it not possible to predict with greater accuracy catastrophic events in the “life” of states, well, at least up to one year, and in the future even up to one month or day?

This is the main question, the main problem. This book is dedicated to her solution. Of course, one person cannot solve this problem. We will try here only to identify some directions, ways in which we can hope to find a solution.

The first step in the search for laws of development of states should be the classification of political events. We must highlight some similar events, similar time periods. Other sciences have long passed this stage. For example, geometry back in the time of Euclid (different geometric shapes were identified - triangles, squares, etc.). Biology passed this stage in the 19th century. History is a whole conglomerate of sciences, and it lags behind in its development. Perhaps now it’s her turn, the time has come to move from descriptions of events (this is the subject of a special science, and maybe even art) to their classification (this will be a different science).

Let's try to make such a classification using the example of Russian history. Why Russia? This choice is obvious. Firstly, this is the author's (and reader's) native story, and it is of particular interest. Secondly, there is significantly more information on Russian history than on the history of any other state.

So, let’s try to “arrange” all the important political events of Russian history “into separate shelves” or “boxes”, like in a library catalogue.

What events will we put in these “boxes”? We will be interested only in political events, and “turning-point” events, i.e. those that led to changes in the system and government bodies. These are, first of all, revolutions, civil wars, coups d'état, riots, and uprisings. Sometimes even the death of a tsar or grand duke was such a “turning point” event, since with the new tsar (grand duke) his new “team” came to power, and then the redistribution of power and, accordingly, property began.

Cultural and scientific events will not interest us, we will not even talk about some of the wars that Russia waged, because wars did not always lead to changes in the structure of government.

The first question that confronts us is what will we write on these “boxes”? Essentially this is a question of terms. “Determine the meaning of words, and you will rid the world of half the contradictions,” said A.S. Pushkin. Let us follow the advice of the great poet and now try to determine the meaning of the word revolution. In the future, as the presentation progresses, we will introduce new terms, sometimes we will use old words, but we will add a new meaning.

So, the first and very important term for us, which we will write on the first “box”, is the word “revolution”. It would seem that everyone knows what it is. What is there to explain? In fact, there is no generally accepted definition of revolution. In this book, the word revolution will mean a “sharp,” “explosive,” “catastrophic” change in the structure and government of the state, followed by changes in the social structure of society. Revolutions do not always lead to civil war, but armed clashes, even on a small scale, are always observed.

The definition proposed to you, of course, requires clarification. Its main drawback is that it does not take into account one essential factor - time. Is a revolution a one-day event or some kind of process? Of course, this is a process that lasts over time and therefore has a beginning and an end. More precisely, it should be said that there are events with which revolutions begin, and there are events with which revolutions end. There is a certain convention in their choice. Such events must be bright, significant, and must be “borderline”, i.e. they should immediately be followed by changes in the structure of government. Sometimes finding such events is not so easy because you have to choose between several events. There are other difficulties here too.

Let's move on from our theoretical discussions to real historical events, and in particular to the events of Russian history of the 20th century, which is still close to us. Let’s try to look at the political cataclysms of this century without “ideological blinders” and moral assessments, let’s concentrate only on the facts of history, on what happened and when.

Vasiliev Vasily Ivanovich

Graduated from the Moscow Higher Technical School. N. E. Bauman in 1981, majoring in Aircraft. Works in the rocket and space industry. Area of ​​interest: history of Russia, Ancient Rome, Byzantium and Western European states; ethnogenesis. He is the author of the books “Does History Repeat itself? On periodic processes in the political history of Russia" (M.: URSS), "Cosmorhythms in the history of the Russian Empire (1671–1918)" (M.: URSS), "Cosmorhythms in the history of Great Britain."

They often come with the question: why? Are events in my life repeating themselves? Who does it depend on: us or fate? Can this be stopped?

For example, a girl got a new job and she really likes it. But some time passes, and there are a lot of reasons to give up everything and leave. Which is exactly what she does. Then the girl finds her next job. “Finally, it’s definitely mine!” - our heroine rejoices, “I’m happy to run to the office in the morning, I’m ready to move mountains there!” But after some time, everything is not the same again... The girl leaves. This scenario is repeated more than once.

Or in a relationship...You meet, meet completely different men, and as a result you notice the same development of events. They speak and act as if they were in agreement. And you reproach yourself for “stepping on the same rake” and choosing the wrong men.

Situations familiar?

And how many stories do I have about women who marry alcoholics, drug addicts or gambling addicts? How many people are always in debt, how many girls are cheating on them. Surely you recognized yourself in some similar story.

So why does this happen? Let's figure it out.

Why do scenarios repeat in life?

Someone will say: “Fate!” Maybe you are right. But why did you get such a fate? How can I change this? After all, it would be stupid to humble yourself and bear the cross all your life.

Imagine how many events (circumstances) must develop in such a way that you find yourself in this place and at this time. These same circumstances should arise not only for you. You will say: “But I don’t want this! How can I create events and attract people into my life that I don’t like?”

Every day you are faced with a choice. From minor issues: what time to leave the house, what meetings to schedule, what road to take, and so on... To important ones: in which house to buy an apartment, where to go to work, who to marry. Future events in life depend on the choices you make.

It may seem to you that a small decision cannot affect your life. I assure you - it can!

Our life is like a spider web, in which every thread is a version of the road. It leads in the direction you have chosen. Depending on this choice, you appear in certain places and meet certain people.

“The same events are repeated until the lesson is learned”

There is a theory that life or the universe gives us lessons. ABOUT the same events will be repeated until the lesson is learned. Moreover, if you remain blind and continue to behave the same way in repeated events, the situation will worsen and the lesson will become more severe.

These events come to life.

Generic scenarios

“We all come from childhood.” It is in childhood that our personality is formed. We are born to specific parents, in certain foundations and environment. Unconsciously, we accept as truth how relationships develop in the family. This “tracing paper” is transferred to our perception of other people, work, and health.

Generic scripts are very powerful. Our actions seem to be “programmed” to create just such situations. Can this be changed?

Life is a reflection of you

According to another theory, life— a mirror of you, and this This means that the reasons must be sought within. So, how can you break the chain of repeating events and stop making mistakes?

In the language of psychology, fate is a life scenario. All moments of upbringing, attitudes, beliefs, fears, habits form a kind of life web. And having understood what is behind this or that event, you can change it.

By changing yourself, you change your life.

Works great for changing a negative scenario to one we need. In one session, we work with a huge layer of life events, once and for all changing the attitude or traumatic experience passed down through the family line.

Believe me, you can change yourself and the events in your life. Become a director, create your own film, play your role. You can live the fate you choose for yourself.

Your life is like a movie. Don't like the role? Be brave! Create your own, take on a new one. Remember: anyone can become anyone!

Synopsis of the books “THE BOOK OF FATES” and “THE FATE OF RUSSIA. HISTORY OF THE FUTURE"

For many representatives of the human race, this question has never been a reality, for in their lives they are unconsciously guided by the motto expressed by the holy Apostle Matthew, “His wickedness is sufficient for the day” (Matthew 6:34).

For a few, the positive answer to this question was an attempt to find patterns in history and use them to predict the future. Attempts to predict the future have not stopped since ancient times. For example, the Old Testament prophets, the author of the Apocalypse, Nostradamus and many others. Maybe God granted them the ability to see the future, but for mere mortals who do not have this skill, their prophecies are “dark as the path in the darkness beyond the grave” ( Bunin I. A.). These are predictions without specific places and dates, these are predictions “in general.” Any modern interpreter can attribute these prophecies to any historical event, whether in the past, present or future.

We are interested in the history of mankind. To truly know the future of humanity, it is necessary to identify the patterns of its historical development. Some thinkers, for example, A.I. Herzen, categorically stated that history does not repeat itself. And since there is no repetition of historical events, then there is no comprehension of history, and the future depends on the actions in the present of the creator of history - man. Others say that at the time of creation God had already created everything - the past, the present, and the future, and since man is not given the ability to know the works of God, then a weak person cannot know history, the creation of God, and he cannot create the future. , since the future is already predetermined. Still others, for example O. Spengler, A. J. Toynbee, L. N. Gumilyov, stated that patterns exist and tried to find the laws of history.

We also declare that history repeats itself, and we prove this in the history of the State.

Our world and everything in it has its beginning and its end, its birth and its death. The Universe, the Sun, the Earth, and Humanity have their own cycle, but the duration of the cycle for each phenomenon is different. It is precisely this difference, as well as the interconnection and interdependence of the Fates, that gives rise to the very dissimilarity of repeating events. This work examines the histories of some states that are carriers of Fates. The rest of the countries are just a background against which the fateful countries implement the will of their Destinies. The duration of the cycle for these Fates is the same - 370 years, but the time of birth is different. The bearer of Destiny is the state, the territory on which it is located, the people, their faith and culture. L.N. Gumilyov writes: “At the population level, the actions of an ethnos are programmed by the environment, culture and genetic memory. On a personal level, they are free.” ( Gumilev L.N. “Ancient Rus' and the Great Steppe”, p. 421). The actions of an ethnos aimed at creating a state are guided by Fate. At the dawn of mankind, the influence of the Fates on each other was insignificant, but the events of our era show their increasing and pervasive influence and interconnection. The end-beginning of any period is the death of God and his resurrection. This is the time of the death of states and their revival. The countries and peoples inhabiting them are pawns that the player, Fate, sacrifices or queens at her own discretion to achieve goals known only to her. Until the period determined by Fate expires, the state, which is the bearer of Fate, will not disappear. When Fate wants to kill a state, it gives it insignificant rulers, greedy for power, overwhelmed by ambition, greed and self-interest. In our works we consider the Fates of the World (the authors did not consider the history of India and Southeast Asia, since their history is under the authority of the Fates and the Fate of Africa considered).

Destiny of the World

(the year the cycle began is indicated)

Roman Fate

…1383−1013−643−273 - 97−467−837−1207−1577−1947−2317…

Altai Destiny

…1778−1408−1038−668−298 - 72−442−812−1182−1552−1922−2292…

German Destiny

…1839−1469−1099−729−359 - 11−381−751−1121−1491−1861−2231…

Iranian Destiny

…1810−1440−1070−700−330 - 40−410−780−1150−1520−1890−2260…

Arabian Destiny

…1590−1220−850−480−110 - 260−630−1000−1370−1740−2110…

Balkan Destiny

…1879−1509−1139−769−399−29 - 341−711−1081−1451−1821−2191…

Asia Minor Destiny

…1925−1555−1185−815−445−75 - 295−665−1035−1405−1775−2145…

Young Chinese Destiny

…1686−1316−946−576−206 - 164−534−904−1274−1644−2014…

Old Chinese Fate

…1841−1471−1101−731−361 - 9−379−749−1119−1489−1859−2229…

Phoenician Destiny

…1996−1626−1256−886−516−146 - 224−594−964−1334−1704−2074…

The fate of Russia

…1708−1338−968−598−228 - 142−512−882−1252−1622−1992−2362…

From the list of the above mentioned Fates we will take “ Altai Destiny" from "Books of Fates", which examines the Fates and their impact on the peoples and states subject to them, We will consider it from 442, although it is much older.

And then let's take " Altai Destiny" from book “The fate of Russia. History of the future", where the influence of this Destiny on " The fate of Russia."

And at the end we will consider The fate of Russia

BOOK OF FATES

Altai Destiny.

At the beginning of the 3rd century AD. e. China was negatively affected by the end of the Old Chinese Destiny cycle. The Western Jin Empire was rocked by internecine wars. Lacking the strength to repel the nomadic tribes attacking from Manchuria, Mongolia and Tibet, the empire lost its northern territories up to the Yangtze River. On the occupied lands, the nomads created their own states, fighting among themselves for hegemony in Northern China. The she-wolf is indifferent to which of her cubs drinks the milk. The strong push away the weak, dooming them to death. Death to the weak is the law. So is Fate, she doesn’t care who seizes power, she always has several contenders to carry out her will. The strongest and most worthy turned out to be one of the Mongol-speaking Xianbi tribes - the Toba tribe. The Tabgachi overcame the consequences of defeat from the kingdom of Early Qin in 376 and managed to create their own state in 386 - the kingdom of Northern Wei (386−535, from 395 - an empire). In 439, the Northern Wei Empire conquered the last independent kingdom of Northern Liang (397−439). The entire North of China came under the rule of the Northern Wei Empire. A small group of residents of the Western Liang kingdom, led by Prince Ashina, were forced to emigrate to the Rourans. “The Turkuts arose like this: in 439, a small detachment of Prince Ashin fled from Northwestern China from the victorious and ruthless Tabgaches. The composition of this detachment was varied, but the predominant ethnic group were the Xianbeans, that is, the ancient Mongols. Having settled on the slopes of Altai and Khingan and mixed with the aborigines, the Turkuts made their narrow specialty smelting iron and making weapons.” ( Gumilev L.N. “Ancient Rus' and the Great Steppe”, p. 30).

While the Old Chinese Fate favored the Tabgachas, the Turkuts remained under the rule of the Rourans. In 534 the End-Beginning of the cycle of the Young Chinese Destiny began. The influence of the Old Chinese Fate has disappeared. As a result of the turmoil, the Northern Wei Empire broke up in 534 into two parts at war with each other. The Turkic people took advantage of this war, they destroyed the Rourans who had sheltered them a hundred years ago and created the Turkic Khaganate.

In 601, the Turkic Khaganate split into two independent Khaganates - Eastern and Western. In 630, the Eastern Turks were conquered by the Chinese Tang Empire; in 658, the same fate befell the Western Turks.

An outstanding statesman and political figure of Persia, Mazdak (?-529), who lived in the 5th century, was the leader of the “communist movement, which was based on the religious-dualistic teaching of Zaradushta (III century), which was a reform of the teachings of the Manichaeans” ( Small Soviet Encyclopedia. - M., 1928−1932, vol. IV, p. 803), in 491 proclaimed the slogan “Rob the loot!” Some of the Jews living in Persia, who became rich thanks to the support of the rulers, were forced to flee the country to the Roman Empire. Some Jews supported Mazdak and took an active part in this “communist” movement. In 529, a counter-revolutionary coup took place, and this time the Mazdakite Jews, who found shelter with the Khazars living between the Sulak and Terek rivers, were forced to flee the country.

The Jews who settled among the Khazars were joined by fellow tribesmen from the Roman Empire. “The Jews who found salvation in Byzantium should have helped the Byzantines. But they helped in a rather strange way. Making secret agreements with the Arabs, the Jews opened the gates of the cities at night and let in the Arab soldiers. They slaughtered the men and sold the women and children into slavery. The Jews, buying up slaves cheaply, resold them at a considerable profit for themselves. The Greeks could not like this. But, deciding not to make new enemies for themselves, they limited themselves to inviting the Jews to leave. Thus, a second group of Jews appeared on the lands of the Khazars - the Byzantine" ( Gumilev L.N. From Rus' to Russia: Essays on Ethnic History. - M., 2000, p. 34). Toynbee is only partially right when he says that emigrants, including Jews, having stood the test of an alien human environment, are completely satisfied with reaping the harvest from a field not cultivated by them. Toynbee A. J. Comprehension of history: Collection. / Per. from English - M., 2001, p. 181). In addition to the harvest, they also need the blood of the plowman.

In 567, the Khazars living in the Caspian region became part of the Turkic Kaganate. In 650, one of the representatives of the ruling Ashina dynasty fled to the Khazars from the Khaganate, torn by civil strife, to save his life. Having stood at the head of the Khazars, he, with their support, separated the Khazars from the Turkic Khaganate and created a new Khaganate - the Khazar Khaganate. The Chinese, when conquering the Turks of the Western Turkic Khaganate, were unable to conquer them due to the remoteness of the Khazars.

The Jews became related to the ruling Turkic dynasty and turned it into a Jewish one. In 808, “in the Khazar Kaganate, a certain influential Jew Obadiah took power into his own hands, turning the khan from the Ashina dynasty (on his father’s side) into a puppet and making rabbinic Judaism the state religion of Khazaria ( Gumilev L.N. Discovery of Khazaria, p. 283).

“The legitimate khan from the Ashin clan became a Jew, that is, he accepted the faith of his mother and was accepted into the community. All government positions were distributed among the Jews, and Obadiah himself accepted the title “peh” (bek), translated into Arabic as “malik”, i.e. king. This means that he headed the government under the nominal khan (khagan), who from that time was in custody and released to the people once a year ( ibid., p. 284).

“The coup, the victim of which was the patrimonial aristocracy of all ethnic groups that were part of the Khazar Kaganate and coexisted with the Turkic dynasty, caused a civil war, where the Magyars took the side of the rebels, and the Pechenegs hired for money took the side of the Jews. This war was merciless, since, according to the Babylonian Talmud, “a non-Jew who does evil to a Jew inflicts it on the Lord himself and, thus committing lèse-majesté, deserves death” ( from the treatise "Sanhedrin", without specifying the sheet and column).

For the early Middle Ages, total war was an unusual innovation. It was supposed, having broken the enemy's resistance, to impose taxes and duties on the defeated, often military service in auxiliary units. But the total extermination of all people who were on the other side of the front was an echo of ancient times. For example, during the conquest of Canaan by Joshua, it was forbidden to take women and children captive and thereby leave them alive. It was even prescribed to kill domestic animals belonging to the enemy. Obadiah revived a forgotten antiquity.

After this war, the beginning and end of which cannot be precisely dated, Khazaria changed its appearance. From systemic integrity it turned into an unnatural combination of an amorphous mass of subjects with a ruling class alien by blood and religion ( ibid., pp.285−286).

This dynasty began to wage wars of conquest against its neighbors. In particular, the Slavic tribes of the Polans, Vyatichi, Northerners and Radimichi became tributaries of Khazaria in the 8th century. In 808, the Jewish community carried out a Jewish revolution in the Khazar Kaganate and usurped power, plunging their host country into the abyss of civil war. The Jews waged an all-out war against the Khazar people. The persecution of the Orthodox began. The Orthodox bishopric was liquidated. Christians fled the country. In general, the same thing happened that happened after three cycles of the Altai Destiny in Russia (808+370×3=1918). By suppressing the resistance of the Khazar people, the Jews intensified the colonial oppression of their neighbors. “...Slavic lands in the 9th-10th centuries. became a source of slaves for Jews, like Africa in the 17th-19th centuries.” ( Gumilyov L.N. Ancient Rus' and the Great Steppe. - M., 2002, p. 200).

1 182

In 1182, part of the Mongols, obeying the will of their Fate, proclaimed Temujin Khan with the title Chinggis ( L.N. Gumilyov “In search of an imaginary kingdom”, p. 137). Thus begins the creation of a great and formidable power. Thus begins a centuries-long period of sorrows and misfortunes for the Mongols, which almost led them to complete disappearance from the face of the earth. The darkness of the Mongol-Tatars is still destroying countries and peoples, and the poison of the vanquished is already corrupting the victors.

The power of Genghis Khan, even before the death of its creator, according to his will, was divided into uluses between his four sons. The uluses are still part of a single, but already divided empire, the unity disappears, the heirs of Genghis Khan see each other as sworn enemies and the blood of the “conquerors of the universe” begins to flow. The descendants of Genghis Khan's third son and his successor Ogedei were completely exterminated by the Hulaguids. The Chagatai ulus - allocated by Genghis Khan himself, as well as the state of the Hulaguids and the Ulus of the Great Khan or the Yuan state, founded by the siblings of Hulagu and Kublai, do not survive the turn of 1370 (the year of the beginning of the cycle of Arabian Destiny), and only fragments of the Golden Horde manage to achieve it with great difficulty overcome and go through the full cycle. Internal unrest and the invasion of Tamerlane dealt a crushing blow to the Golden Horde, from which it could not recover. In the 15th century, numerous khanates and hordes arose on its ruins, which were later included in the Russian Empire, which by force took the right to the legacy of Genghis Khan.

At the beginning of the 16th century, Mongolia consisted of two large parts: western and eastern, separated by the Khangai Mountains. Each part consisted of smaller properties. One of the rulers, Dayan Khan (Khan in 1479-1543), united almost all of Mongolia under his rule. Before his death, Dayan Khan divided the country into eleven fiefs according to the number of sons. Mongolia again split into Eastern and Western Mongolia; Eastern Mongolia, in addition divided by the Gobi Desert, split into Northern and Southern Mongolia. The Mongols had their say. Altai Destiny abandoned the Mongols.

In 1921, units of the Red Army, which entered the territory of Mongolia at the request of the Mongolian Provisional Government formed as a result of the revolution, together with the Mongolian army expelled the White Guards. On July 11, 1921, the independence of Mongolia was declared in liberated Urga. The Bogdo Gegen became the head of the state. After his death (1924), Mongolia was proclaimed a People's Republic.

Altai Destiny

The closer the end of the cycle approached, the more the Kazan Khanate was influenced by its neighbors. Kazan was the key to Jochi's legacy. It became the arena of struggle between Crimea and Moscow.

Attempts by fragments of the Golden Horde to unite and resist the increasing influence of Moscow were unsuccessful. Russia was able to reverse the situation and snatch the banner of the Altai Destiny from the hands of its enemies and begin the conquest of its conquerors, although the negativity of the end of the cycle influenced not only the Tatar khanates. Moscow had to experience it for itself.

In 1552 Moscow conquered Kazan.

The year 552 marked the beginning of the process of unifying all the lands of the Altai Destiny under the leadership of Russia, which successfully completed the task. By 1922, all the lands of this Destiny became subject to Moscow.

On October 25, 1922, with the liberation of Vladivostok, the civil war and intervention ended. The power of the Bolsheviks completely crushed the great country. On December 27, 1922, an agreement was signed between the RSFSR, Ukraine, Belarus and the Transcaucasian Federation on the formation of the USSR. On December 30, the Kurultai of plenipotentiary representatives of these countries approved the declaration and agreement on the formation of the Union of Kurultai Socialist Uluses.

THE DESTINY OF RUSSIA. HISTORY OF THE FUTURE

The fate of RUSSIA

In the 9th century, two centers of unification of East Slavic tribes emerged - Kyiv, the main city of the Polyans, and Ladoga, the main city of the Slovenes (Ilmen).

The North Russian tribe of Slovenes (Ilmen) was ruled by their prince Gostomysl. After his death, the tribe became dependent on the Varangians and became their tributary. In 862, the Slovenes refused to pay tribute. In the struggle for power, they began to experience unrest and strife. Tired of all this, the Slovenes invited the leader of the Baltic Slavs, Rurik the Slav, and his brothers Sineus and Truvor to reign. The brothers were the grandchildren of the Slovenian prince Gostomysl, their mother was Umila Gostomyslovna, their father was Godlav Bodrichsky. The elder brother Rurik (born c. 830 - died in 879) settled in Ladoga, the middle brother Sineus - on Beloozero, the youngest, Truvor - in Izborsk.

In 864, when his younger brothers died, Rurik moved to Novgorod. He appointed his governors to the cities of Polotsk, Rostov, Beloozero and others.

Before his death, Rurik handed over the reign not to his young son, but to his relative Oleg. In 882, Oleg (Prince of Novgorod in 879−882; Prince of Kiev in 882−912) set out on a campaign with a retinue. He occupied Smolensk and Lyubech, and installed his governors there. In Kyiv, the main city of the Polyans, princes Askold and Dir ruled. Having insidiously seized the rulers of Kyiv, Oleg killed them and sat down to reign there himself, making Kyiv the capital of his possessions (“the mother of Russian cities”). Tributes were established to the Slavs and Mary. In 883 Oleg conquered the Drevlyans. Then the northerners (884) and Radimichi (885), who had previously paid tribute to the Khazars, were conquered.

In 882, a period of Russian history known as “Kievan Rus” began.

In 1206, history repeated itself. Residents of Galich called Vladimir, Roman and Svyatoslav Igorevich to reign. The brothers were the grandchildren of the Galician prince Yaroslav Vladimirovich Osmomysl, their mother was Efrosinya Yaroslavna, and their father was Igor Svyatoslavich (Prince of Novgorod-Seversky in 1180-1198, Prince of Chernigov in 1198-1202), the hero of “The Tale of Igor’s Campaign” .

Looking at the events of a thousand years ago through the prism of modern reality, I just want to say: “In 882, Oleg Varangsky and the Novgorod lads decided to attack the Kyiv boys. He took Smolensk and Lyubech, and placed his watchers there. The Kyiv troops were led by Askold and Dir. Oleg hit the arrow on which the Kyiv leaders were killed.”

In the first years of the Mongol-Tatar yoke, when most of the country's cities were burned, the population was killed and driven into slavery, the survivors were subject to exorbitant tribute, when the question of the existence of Rus' itself and its people was raised, two rulers were revealed in it and for it - Daniil Galitsky and Alexander Nevsky. The country had the opportunity to be reborn in a new form, but what path the revival would take depended on the will of these people. New Rus' was supposed to be reborn in the Galician-Volyn principality, but it was reborn in the Vladimir-Suzdal land.

The main role in choosing the path was played by the relationship between Rus' and Catholic Europe and the Horde. The wrong choice made by Daniil of Galicia and his descendants led the Kingdom of Galicia to the fall under the blows of Western invaders and the conquest of Southern Rus' and the people for long and difficult centuries of slavery and captivity.

The policy of Alexander Nevsky and his heirs, who saw the main danger in the desire of the Catholic West to seize the “country of cities” and force the population to renounce Orthodoxy and accept Catholic dogmas, helped Rus' to overcome everything, overcome everything, resist and be reborn.

Alexander Nevsky continued the policies of his great-great-grandfather Vladimir Monomakh. “In fact, in the XII-XIII centuries. The Polovtsian land (Dasht-i-Kypchak) and Kievan Rus constituted one polycentric state" ( Gumilyov L.N. Ancient Rus' and the Great Steppe. - M., 2002.16, p. 303−304). The Polovtsians were replaced by the Mongol-Tatars. The burden of choosing Alexander Nevsky was much heavier than the burden of choosing Monomakh. He has a strong state, while Alexander Nevsky has a fragmented, bloodless and depopulated country.

The Troubles ended after the election of sixteen-year-old Mikhail Romanov as Tsar.

« GOD SHORTENES THE TIME OF TROUBLES FOR THE PEOPLE HE CHOSES» (Mark 13:20).

In 1622, the last prominent participants in the Time of Troubles passed away - Fyodor Ivanovich Mstislavsky, who died three times in 1598, 1606 and 1610. refused to be nominated to the Russian throne, and Ksenia Borisovna Godunova. After their death, a new cycle begins.

The policy of the traitor Gorbi led to the weakening of the central government and the collapse of the country. An unsuccessful attempt to stop the collapse was made by the Eight Boyars of the State Emergency Committee. But whatever happens, it cannot be avoided. It is impossible to cancel the death of God, he must ascend to the cross, but reducing or increasing his suffering depends on the will of man. If a person is a champion of Evil, then he increases suffering and for this he must be punished.

The ruling circles of the union republics, headed by Yeltsin, striving for even greater power, destroyed the USSR. On December 8, 1991, in a deep Belarusian forest, in Belovezhskaya Pushcha, a few kilometers from the Soviet-Polish border, the leaders of three republics (RSFSR, Ukrainian SSR and BSSR) gathered - B. N. Yeltsin, L. M. Kravchuk and S. S. Shushkevich and signed the Agreement on the creation of the CIS, prepared in deep secrecy from their peoples. On December 21, the leaders of eight more republics joined this Agreement.

Deputies of the Parliament of Ukraine and the Supreme Councils of Belarus and Russia ratified the documents on December 10, 11 and 12, respectively. Soon, the highest authorities of almost all the republics that signed the Union Treaty in 1922 denounced it.

On the evening of December 25, speaking on television, M. Gorbachev stated the collapse of the USSR and resigned as president of the USSR. The Russian flag was raised over the Grand Kremlin Palace instead of the state flag of the Soviet Union. The next day, the Council of Republics of the Supreme Soviet of the USSR held its last meeting and adopted a Declaration in which it announced the end of the existence of the USSR. The Soviet Union, having existed for exactly 69 years, went into oblivion. The bomb planted under the building of the USSR statehood by V.I. Lenin exploded and smashed it to smithereens.

Russia is gone, Russia is out

And it doesn't ring bells.

Not a word or breath of her,

Nobody guards sadness.

Russia silences the chatter

And he lies upside down.

And we leave with her forever,

Without realizing your guilt.

And in the Novgorod region there are Uzbeks

They are already uprooting virgin soil.

M. Dudin

As history shows, only a mono-ethnic state can overcome the difficult times of the End-Beginning of the cycle. The state, which unites numerous tribes, nationalities and peoples, does not overcome this boundary and disappears forever into the abyss of oblivion. Russia could overcome troubled times only because it was a country of one Russian people. From the beginning of the 19th century, the process of transforming Russia into a multinational state began, but until the end of the 20th century, the Russian people maintained their dominant position. The current policy of immigration of Russia (precisely Russia, not the Russian Federation), its occupation by foreigners and aliens, while simultaneously depopulating the Russian people, is leading Russia to the slaughter. 2361 - this will be the last year of Russia’s existence, if you don’t...

CONCLUSION

» You must do good from evil , That's why What his more Not from what to do ».

R. P. Warren

Russia is a great country. She will have a great future if you and I don't lose her. During the years of unrest, internal strife and intervention, its territory decreased, but the unrest passed, and Russia was restored not only to the same size, but also increased, expanding its borders, and its power increased. With internal unity, no one could offend her with impunity, but in times of internal strife, when the unity of the country was violated, the neighbors, like mad dogs, pounced on Russia, trying to snatch as much as possible from its wealth. But even in difficult years, when the question of the existence of the Russian state was raised, the enemies failed to destroy it. It’s an amazing thing: countries that have been fighting each other for centuries cannot achieve an advantage in this fight, but as soon as Russia fights with any country, that country can no longer be found on the map. It either disappears completely or falls under the rule of Russia or its allies for centuries. Where are the Obras, Khazars, Pechenegs, Polovtsians? Where are the numerous hordes and orders?

We perceive today's world statically. It seems to us that the West has gone far ahead and we will never catch up with it. This is not so, it also has its own cycle, and today events are emerging that will show the European peoples where Kuzka’s mother spends the winter. Europe not the center of the earth, she is just one of the many peninsulas of Asia . The unity of the West is an ephemeral thing, the day will come when unity will disappear, and in its place discord and hostility will appear. And rivers of blood will flow again. “New cities will become dust, leaving not a trace in memory, only the winds, howling at the ends of the earth, will continue to sing in their dust” ( Sterling Brown).

Determining Russia's position in the system of states, Peter I attached great importance to connections with the East. “We need Europe for several decades,” said Peter I, “and then we must turn our backs to it,” that is, facing the East.

Stop fidgeting. It's time to turn inward and look at yourself. Russia has no friends in this world and must rely only on its own strength.